
Only with time will the period of my real influence begin and I trust that it will be a long one, for I am firmly convinced of Seneca's promise: "Although envy imposed silence on all who lived with you, those men will come who will judge without ill-will and without favour."
- Schopenhauer's Doctoral Dissertation, The Fourfold RootI'd throw my hat in the ring as a philosophy-minded SWE who's coming up on the end of my runway while writing my book on unifying symbolic+connectionist AI (going for ~1y now), but your choice of currency tells me you probably don't have a need for any of us yanks. Instead, I'll send you my very strongest best wishes from across the ocean! And while I'm at it, I'll endorse my absolute favorite paper ever written on search, in case it sparks some ideas: Simon & Newell's Human Problem Solving (1970) https://github.com/vlall/Ai-Papers/blob/master/1971_Human%20... . If you're not already teaching it, ofc ;)
This quote in particular pops into my head at least once a day:
The problem solver's search for a solution is an odyssey through the problem space, from one knowledge state to another, until his current knowledge state includes the problem solution. The problem solver’s search for a solution is an odyssey through the problem space, from one knowledge state to another, until… [they] know the answer.
With this in mind, I really don't see any basis to attack the intelligence explosion hypothesis. I linked a Yudkowsky paper above examining how empirically feasible it might be, which is absolutely an unsolved question at some level. But the utility of the effort itself is just downright obvious, even if we didn't have reams of internet discussions like this one to nudge any nascent agent in that direction.[1] Simon & Newell, 1971: Human Problem Solving https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1971-24266-001
Anything beyond that goes into LTM. It takes around 5 seconds to put something into LTM. If the test talked about here has more than 3 things to remember, LTM must be in use and will be a limiting factor.
Any differences between people at that point likely refer to their chunking capabilities, i.e. if they can reduce complex patterns to a single entity to remember (each of which takes ~5 seconds).
Source: Human Problem Solving by Newell/Simon.
- Chomsky 1956, _Three models for the description of language_ https://chomsky.info/wp-content/uploads/195609-.pdf
- Naur 1985, _Programming as theory building_ https://pages.cs.wisc.edu/~remzi/Naur.pdf
- Simon & Newell 1970, _Human Problem Solving_ https://iiif.library.cmu.edu/file/Newell_box00018_fld01306_d...
etc. Maybe too broad a topic? Basically this list feels like it's lacking answers to some fundamental "why is it like this" questions, if that makes sense.