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    Artwork for The Ezra Klein Show
    Episode

    Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm

    The Ezra Klein Show · Oct 27, 2026 · 55 min
    Episode page

    “If the election goes roughly as the polls say it will go, then in some ways it would mark the end of the Trump era,” Nate Silver told me. The midterms are a week away, and it looks entirely possible that Democrats will win not just the House, but also the Senate. Democrats are polling competitively deep into red territory – Texas, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, Kansas – states that Trump won in 2024 by…

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