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    Artwork for Planet Money
    Episode

    How to win a penalty shootout (with game theory)

    Planet Money · Jul 3, 2026 · 18 min
    Episode page

    Lionel Messi is arguably the greatest soccer scorer of all time. But when it comes to penalty kicks, Messi is merely average. Why? Maybe the answer involves game theory. According to game theory, there’s an optimal strategy for taking penalty kicks. This strategy involves an idea that was once somewhat controversial in economics — that is, until economists started studying soccer players in real…

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