Episode
Rory Johnston on Why His $200 Oil Prediction Didn't Turn Out Right
Odd Lots · Jun 26, 2026 · 32 min
The Strait of Hormuz has (mostly) re-opened! Crude prices are still up since the start of the war with Iran, but popular predictions earlier this year of $200-a-barrel Brent didn’t pan out. Why is that? We last talked to Rory Johnston, the founder of the Commodity Context newsletter, at the start of the conflict. And in that conversation he said that the Strait’s closure would lead to $200 oil…