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    Artwork for Astral Codex Ten Podcast
    Episode

    The Sigmoids Won't Save You

    Astral Codex Ten Podcast · Jun 13, 2026 · 11 min
    Episode page

    "All exponentials eventually become sigmoids" is an annoying AI talking point. If someone presents a graph like this… ….and points out that it seems like AI capabilities could soon reach the level marked "High", then the height of intelligent debate is to point out that actually, the trend could go like this: …and then it would never reach the level marked "High"! In slogan form, this is "all…

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