
Legendary money manager Peter Lynch explains his own strategies for investing and offers advice for how to pick stocks and mutual funds to assemble a successful investment portfolio. Develop a Winning Investment Strategy--with Expert Advice from "The Nation's #1 Money Manager." Peter Lynch's "invest in what you know" strategy has made him a household name with investors both big and small. An important key to investing, Lynch says, is to remember that stocks are not lottery tickets. There's a company behind every stock and a reason companies--and their stocks--perform the way they do. In this book, Peter Lynch shows you how you can become an expert in a company and how you can build a profitable investment portfolio, based on your own experience and insights and on straightforward do-it-yourself research. In Beating the Street,Lynch for the first time explains how to devise a mutual fund strategy, shows his step-by-step strategies for picking stock, and describes how the individual investor can improve his or her investment performance to rival that of the experts. There's no reason the individual investor can't match wits with the experts, and this book will show you how.
I think though the main point of my previous comment was that many people (including posts that suggest everyone invest in only low-cost index funds and bonds) tend to underestimate the vast potential of huge returns in investing if one truly is an expert in investing.
Also, I suggest reading Common Stocks, Uncommon Profits by Philip Fisher and also Beating the Street by Peter Lynch. Both books are from legendary investors and will shed light that is different than the index fund approach/philosophy.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08...
Without Fannie and Freddie and the backing by the US taxpayer Wall Street would not have taken as much risk.
Analysts are paid a lot to get this right. There are a number of ways to figure this out. I read, for example, of analysts counting cars in store parking lots. Peter Lynch of Magellan Fund fame talks a lot about getting this information via proxies in his book "Beating The Street".
If you follow corporate earnings reports, you'll often see the stock drop on seeing a report of good earnings that exceeded expectations. This is because the analysts got a whiff of a stink coming from the company that their long term prospects weren't so good.
If the corporation is larger, there is a LOT of money (billions of dollars) riding on correctly predicting future performance, and analysts who can figure it out get paid accordingly.
It's just not plausible that CEOs can routinely and easily fool these guys.
Again, I generally agree with the advice of going with low-cost index funds for the vast majority of people. However, I do think that there are some people (albeit not many) with the right background, skills, training and commitment who can consistently beat the markets (ie., this was the thesis of Peter Lynch's book Beating the Street).
