Name: The Next 100 Years
ISBN: 9780767923057

The Next 100 Years

"Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination. It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful, long-term shifts taking place in full view of the world." --George FriedmanIn his long-awaited and provocative new book, George Friedman turns his eye on the future--offering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century. He explains where and why future wars will erupt (and how they will be fought), which nations will gain and lose economic and political power, and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century.The Next 100 Years draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years. Friedman shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, at the dawn of a new era--with changes in store, including:- The U.S.-Jihadist war will conclude--replaced by a second full-blown cold war with Russia.- China will undergo a major extended internal crisis, and Mexico will emerge as an important world power.- A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe, Eurasia, and the Far East; but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly.- Technology will focus on space--both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications.- The…

What Hacker News says

concindsJul 2022

Feel free to read Stratfor's site (I named an extension that allows full free access) or George Friedman's "The Next 100 Years" book.

Stratfor employs many ex-US-intelligence-agency people who use the same geopolitical analysis methods for a corporate audience (though without classified data) and their views are a close approximation of the thinking of the US's intelligence community; in that sense, they are significant.

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b_emeryNov 2016

I'm not sure what liberals want, and I agree, we have been at war for something like 15 years now. I suspect that Hillary would have essentially continued our presence in Iraq. In that sense she barely qualifies as liberal.

If you want a good understanding of the geopolitical actions of the countries of the world, a good place to start is with one of the two books by George Friedman (The Next Decade, and The Next 100 Years). These books give compelling reasons why Russia is doing what it is doing, why we need to work with Iran, and the demographic reasons for turmoil in the middle east.

I think the difference between the candidates was that Hillary understood strategically why we have not done more to help Syria, why ISIS is a minor player, why accord with Iran is important, and why the recent activity by Russia in Syria and Ukraine are both predictable and not incredibly dangerous. I don't think Trump understands any of this, but my guess is that he is getting a crash course in it right now. I hope he can learn. I also hope he's smart enough to keep his emotions in check when and if something important comes up because if he treats the button like he treated his twitter account we are screwed.

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lnwlebjelFeb 2022

See chapter 6 of this book that was published in 2009 (The Next 100 Years by George Friedman):

http://www.mysearch.org.uk/website1/pdf/715.2.pdf

If nothing else, it outlines the strategic situation that is providing some of Putin's underlying motivation, namely, declining Russian population and encroaching NATO boundaries.

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alex_eScraperJul 2020

)) 10. The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century Book by George Friedman

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dustingetzMay 2020

USA's power stems from having coasts on both oceans, which gives the USA unique naval advantages, according to a book:

> The United States Navy controls all of the oceans of the world. Whether it’s a junk in the South China Sea, a dhow off the African coast, a tanker in the Persian Gulf, or a cabin cruiser in the Caribbean, every ship in the world moves under the eyes of American satellites in space and its movement is guaranteed—or denied—at will by the U.S. Navy. The combined naval force of the rest of the world doesn’t come close to equaling that of the U.S. Navy.

> Having achieved the unprecedented feat of dominating all of the world’s oceans, the United States obviously wanted to continue to hold them. The simplest way to do this was to prevent other nations from building navies, and this could be done by making certain that no one was motivated to build navies—or had the resources to do so. One strategy, “the carrot,” is to make sure that everyone has access to the sea without needing to build a navy. The other strategy, “the stick,” is to tie down potential enemies in land-based confrontations so that they are forced to exhaust their military dollars on troops and tanks, with little left over for navies.

-- Friedman, George. The Next 100 Years (p. 45). Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group. Kindle Edition.

Basically he says that the USA can spend recklessly, be astoundingly inefficient, etc and still remain in power due to this.

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zoomablemindJan 2020

Reminded me of 2009 "The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century" by George Friedman of Stratfor. Among of his far fetched (but who knows, still possible) predictions was Poland becoming [again] a decisive power in Europe...

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