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    Cover of Think Bayes

    Think Bayes

    Allen B. Downey · 2013

    Printing History September, 2013:First Edition 2013-09-10:First release 2014-02-10:Second release 2014-08-22:Third release 2016-06-03:Fourth release

    Data & Statistics
    Open LibraryAmazon
    Stats for nerds
    37recommend
    50mentions
    45people
    2012–2026years
    80% recommend20% neutral

    Mentions per year

    20122014201620182020202220242026

    What Hacker News says

    1. stdbrouwSep 2026
      + Krushke’s Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, and for the very basics there is Downey’s Think Bayes. I guess there might be a gap in the literature for a different approach, heck, I’d read it, but there is some very good material already out there.
      thread
    2. mangomountainMay 2026
      I saw a linear algebra “textbook” on Twitter in maybe 2022? It was black background and bright text with a good amount of graphs like someone’s incredibly long blog post. I’ve tried a few times to find it since but haven’t had any luck.

      This looks a bit more involved but lovely I think I’ll try it. I read Think Bayes and thought it was great.

      thread
    3. guiambrosMay 2026
      Also:

      - Think Python

      - Think Data Structures

      - Think Java

      - Think Perl6 (!)

      - Modeling and Simulation in Python

      - Probably Overthinking It

      And more [1]. He's a prolific writer, and very generous for offering many of them for free. I read several of them online or through O'Reilly, and bought printed copies just to appreciate his work. Really enjoyed Think DSP, Think Complexity, Think Bayes, etc.

      [1] https://www.amazon.com/stores/Allen-Downey/author/B001O8NBPS

      thread
    4. ranc1dMay 2024
      I like Alan Downeys books Think Stats, Think Bayes. He introduces topics in Statistics using python:

      https://greenteapress.com/wp/think-stats-2e/ https://greenteapress.com/wp/think-bayes/

      thread
    5. bradyatFeb 2024
      Think Bayes by Allen Downey is an amazing and free course teaching Bayesian statistics in Python. Save yourself the $50 and try it first: https://allendowney.github.io/ThinkBayes2/
      thread
    6. canyon289Feb 2024
      Thank you for asking. I find this stuff super interesting. I write about it on my blog

      https://ravinkumar.com/

      and here's a video for the most common question I get about bayes vs frequentist

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=foSPfzYs4yY

      For recommendations here's my suggestions split by persona

      * I want a PHD in statistics or to write novel research - Go read BDA3 cover to cover. Gelman etal are amazing, and amazingly brilliant. The book is dense though, even after years of experience I need to now read chapters 2 or 3 times and write out proofs

      * I want have a smooth on ramp into Bayesian stats with lots of code and beautiful writing. I also like video lectures and undergraduate college courses - Statistical Rethinking. As noted below Richard does a wonderful job explaining these concepts with metaphors like golems, interspersing it with this experience as an anthropologist, and using his teaching experience to write well structured introduction into Bayesian stats. This book does assume you understand basic statistics and probability theory.

      * I want a great comparison of Bayesian vs Frequentist stats- This book covers both topics well, compares them fairly, and has all the proofs to back things up https://www.routledge.com/Understanding-Advanced-Statistical...

      * I'm a programmer type person that likes hands on "build from scratch" using code - Allen Downey's think bayes builds up bayes theorem from Numpy arrays. He's also a brilliant instructors

      * I want to read about the history and people and politics - Bernoulli's fallacy, The Theory That Would Not Die:, and Probably Overthinking it are all "non mathy" great armchair readings https://cup.columbia.edu/book/bernoullis-fallacy/97802311999... https://www.amazon.com/Theory-That-Would-Not-Die/dp/03001882... https://www.allendowney.com/blog/

      * Im an applied practitioner that is focusing more on my specific problem and I need to use the latest PPLs and code to get it done - This is my book. I had to make estimations in SpaceX supply chain with some quick deadlines and I didn't have time to take an undergrad course. I also needed my code to be robust, testable, and scalable. I didn't find that other books provided this so that's why I wrote this with CRC and Osvaldo. Osvaldo and I are heavy contributors to PyMC, ArviZ, Preliz and other libraries so naturally we take a code first approach. https://bayesiancomputationbook.com/welcome.html

      * (Shameless self promotion) Im a professional, I need to learn fast, and my company will pay for training - For this specific niche me and other Bayesian colleagues created an online course designed specifically for professionals. Yes it's expensive so let me plainly state no one at any point needs to spend any money to learn Bayesian stats. That being said hundreds of people have purchased this course and the feedback we've gotten on this course has been quite positive. So I want to underscore before Hacker news rips me apart. No one is being forced to buy this, if you want this style course here it is, if you don't there's many many ways to learn Bayesian stats. https://www.intuitivebayes.com/

      You can sign up for the Gaussian Process course for free if you'd like https://www.intuitivebayes.com/gaussian-processes

      As you can tell I'm very fascinated by generative modeling. I find it fun to think about. I also frankly find it lucrative. It's helped me job hop across some pretty cool companies and get through the Google interview. The combination of strong programming skillset with applied generative mathematics is only heating up so I feel lucky to have chanced upon it, and also thankful that many others before me put great code and reading material out there so I could learn myself.

      thread

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