Oryx

> He didn't say parts of it, he said much of their military.

He was clearly talking about there overall armed forces, but you seemingly want to interpret his words in a very narrow view.

> You've mentioned 35.5k-43.5k KIA losses for Russia up to March this year. Are you suggesting that these numbers comprise the complete ground forces?

35.4k-43.5k KIA is is like ~130k-~160k casualties, thats a huge lose, for any army.

But no, my assessment of the state of the Russian ground forces is more based around their use of equipment and their equipment losses.

The losses are staggering you should see them for yourself.

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

> I thought that was a loaded question you weren't expecting answers for. Is there anything in T62 that make it, in your opinion, unworthy on the battlefield? It's another piece of useful artillery equipment after all.

But it's not being used as artillery its being used as tank. Indirect fire its not a bad idea but as a tank its going to melt in the face of anything at or never then a T64.

> If the things you say are true and they no longer produce it, why not using the existing stockpile that had been taking space and maintenance effort at past peace time?

Well for one its crew is different to anything the Russian forces use now because it doesn't have a auto loader, its a cannon is too weak to really take on anything newer then it.

> Is that the only model of tanks they've…

Taking Wikipedia as reliable (apologies) The Russian Army has 280k active troops (per :https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Ground_Forces) and is thought to have deployed 175k of those (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine)

Contrary to the lowest grade, it seems that many elite forces were used : https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/04/destination-disaster-russias-failure-at.html unfortunately they were deployed in an amateur way using a reckless plan. If the reinforcement strategy had come off then everyone would say that it was utterly brilliant, but gambles like this happen in war all the time. We like to venerate the ones that work and to talk about brilliant generals and the glamour of battle. In reality, as in this case they mostly fail and the troops get bogged down and killed.

The Russians have done a surprising and smart thing, which shows that someone in Moscow has the light on still. They've pulled out of the north and completely changed strategy - this shows a strategic flexibility that's really quite impressive, and unusual for a totalitarian regime. The problem that they have now is that the situation in the south is much more difficult than it would have been if they had gone for it at the outset. They don't have much of a reserve because Russia is so vast and the Russians have serious commitments at the border with China and North Korea and so on.

> Russia has been rather subdued in the Ukraine invasion, but they have won 95%+ of every military engagement in Ukraine: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_engagements...

You mean 95% of the ones on that list, which was made by an external observer. It's also a military engagement each time one of their vehicles gets exploded by a TB2 drone strike.

Their equipment losses: https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html

Most of these aren't in battle, it's because their equipment breaks on its own because they didn't maintain the tires for years, or runs out of fuel because everyone in the supply chain sold it for food money.

The Wikipedia map is good, but it's also out of date on that page, and the positions haven't moved much since then.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-16

This shipments: https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/09/fact-sheet-on-german-military-aid-to.html

"Contrary to popular perception, Germany has delivered significant amounts of arms and equipment to Ukraine to aid the country in its fight against the Russian military. In fact, the volume of arms deliveries by Berlin exceeds that of every other country safe for the United States and the United Kingdom. Nonetheless, Germany has faced severe criticism and even mockery for its perceived lack of support to Ukraine and its ill-fated attempts to keep its relationship with Moscow intact. While ultimately positioning itself as a reliable partner of Ukraine, it can be argued that Berlin's communication to affirm its Ukraine stance and explain foreign policy goals has been nothing short of an unmitigated disaster."

Also, they host import USA bases and helped in other ways.

For a detailed description of Russian losses to date, see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzR8BacYS6U. (with data mostly from https://www.youtube.com/@CovertCabal/videos which go into the satellite pictures which are pretty hard to dispute.) The TLDR is Russia to date has lost

almost all their functional BMDs

~4/5ths of their functional BMPs

almost all of their MTLBs and MTLbus

~2/3rds of their big artillery

~1/3rd of their small artillery (because they are short on ammo)

all of their mortars

~4/5ths of their towed artillery (that isn't from WW2)

~9/10ths of their rocket artillery

Furthermore, these numbers have been cross correlated with visually confirmed loss data https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html, .

Ukrainian sources put the number lost at nearly double that last time I checked. I am using a number from oryx, who claims to have counted tanks out of commission or being towed from photographs taken in front lines or publicly released arial photography and de-duping them, as they have done for other conflicts like the war in Afghanistan. They actually have the count now at
Tanks 774 (of which destroyed: 438, damaged: 21, abandoned: 53, captured: 262), and host all the images used to make their count. I’m sure there are problems with this approach but it seems like the closest thing to an unbiased estimate available to the public right now.

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html?m=1