Skip to content
HomeVideosBooksBlogs
AllTop postsTopics
Podcasts
HistoryListsWatch laterLiked videosFollowing

The videos, books, blogs and podcasts Hacker News keeps recommending, all in one place.

VideosBooksBlogsPodcastsAboutPrivacySettings

Data from Hacker News, HackerTube, HackerBooks, HackerBlogs and Open Library. Credits · Not affiliated with Y Combinator.

HomeVideosBooksBlogsPodcasts
Ctrl K
    P

    PlanB

    medium.com/@100trillionusd · Personal blog · on HN since 2019

    PlanB writes Medium posts modeling Bitcoin's value using scarcity and a stock-to-flow model.

    Visit blogHN submissions
    CryptoFinance & Investing
    What HN says

    HN commenters cite the stock-to-flow articles in support of holding Bitcoin as a scarce asset and tie them to its price.

    Stats for nerds
    18HN people shared it
    10linked in comments
    22story points
    Feb 2021last shared
    2019people per year2021

    Top posts on HN

    1. 1
      Modeling Bitcoin Value with Scarcity
      13 people · 15 points · first shared 2019 · 1 comments on HN
    2. 2
      Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow Cross Asset Model
      6 people · 7 points · first shared 2020 · Discussion on HN
    3. 3
      Efficient market hypothesis and bitcoin stock to flow model db17f40e6107
      1 person · first shared 2020

    What HN people wrote when they linked it

    • nochFeb 2021

      > And those limits come up to the theoretical maximum of was it 7 or so and in practice around 4

      > https://www.blockchain.com/charts/transactions-per-second

      The link you provided indicates transactions added to the mempool per second! The mempool is a cache of broadcast transactions from which miners pick transactions to be added to the next block.

      At the current block height, 2700 transactions were in the block. https://mempool.space/block/00000000000000000007a3688746c1d04d1b9619ebdc4813b843fbf995bc9f0c

      > Also PoW is hilariously inefficient. Because the amount of energy one needs to spend is basically related to the amount of value one could grab by cheating

      Your statement is entirely unclear. Could you restate it? For Steelman purposes, I'll ignore the non-sequitur about cheating.

      You claim that algorithm x is inefficient in absolute terms? Assuming you're an engineer, you know that engineering operates by comparisons and tradeoffs. PoW is how Bitcoin provides final settlement of transactions and unforgeable costliness compared to existing systems of money (e.g. fiat) and money transfer(e.g. visa, paypal, swift) which are all centralised and built for censorship, while bitcoin is decentralised and censorship resistant. And it provides final settlement of transactions every hour for thousands of transactions. "Finality" and "Unforgeability" are the terms you should attend to. These are both tied to hashrate which is tied to the profitability of mining the heaviest…

    • alwillisJan 2021

      It's inflationary, since more bitcoin are mined every ten minutes or so.

      That's not how it works… think about it.

      How can bitcoin be inflationary when the number of coins being produced decreases every 4 years?

      There's a fixed supply—over 88% of all the bitcoin that'll ever exist have already been mined.

      Yes, every 10 minutes or so, 6.25 new bitcoin come into existence but every 4 years, the block subsidy is cut in half and will continue to be cut in half until the final block is mined. The next halving is May 7, 2024.

      The amount of new coins mined will continue to decrease until 2140. You might want to read about bitcoin's stock to flow: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25

      Sure, the code says that it will stop when 21 million are mined, but there's no real guarantee that the code won't change before we reach that point.

      There's over $500 billion (and growing) in market capitalization that is based on the limit being 21 million bitcoin and not ever changing. This was already litigated by the bitcoin community.

      Or, the blockchain might fork (again) and now there are double the coins.

      Again, this isn't how it works.

      There could be dozens of forks; that doesn't matter. Only the longest chain with the most work on it matters. All of the hashing power would continue on the one true bitcoin chain while the forks languish.

      Bitcoin is open source; anyone can download the source code, make a few changes and launch a new…

    • argvargcFeb 2021

      Miners, who supply new BTC to market, are constrained by mining expense to only sell at a price higher than what it cost them to mine. If they cannot meet this price, they mine less, and fewer BTC are produced.

      Various modelling based in these simple economic fundamentals has produced accurate predictions of BTC pricing over time:

      https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12

    • jerrymillerDec 2020

      Here's an article that explains the fundamentals of Bitcoin and they tie to its price: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25

      > Is the purpose just to become more valuable because of its scarcity with no utility?

      Being a reliable store of value is great utility. Nothing else can come close to btc at that.

    • danukerNov 2020

      Here's to sound money!

      P.S. Also check out their other two posts:

      https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/efficient-market-hypothesis-and-bitcoin-stock-to-flow-model-db17f40e6107

      https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/bitcoin-stock-to-flow-cross-asset-model-50d260feed12

    • fossuserFeb 2020

      Thanks - I’ll check them out.

      Plan B: https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25

      Bitcoin Standard: https://www.amazon.com/Bitcoin-Standard-Decentralized-Alternative-Central/dp/1119473861/ref=nodl_

    Related

    Jameson Loppblog.lopp.net51 people

    To Swat a Swatter

    Jameson Lopp
    Personal · last shared 2026
    Gigidergigi.com16 people

    Bitcoin Is Time

    Gigi
    Personal · last shared 2024
    Nic Cartermedium.com/@nic__carter29 people

    Bitcoin at 12

    Nic Carter
    Personal · last shared 2025
    BitMEX Blogblog.bitmex.com61 people

    Flashbots

    BitMEX Blog
    Company · last shared 2024
    Coinbase Blogblog.coinbase.com383 people

    Container technologies at Coinbase: Why Kubernetes is not part of our stack

    Coinbase Blog
    Company · last shared 2022
    Nassim Talebnassimtaleb.org24 people

    Paper: Bitcoin, Currencies, and Bubbles

    Nassim Taleb
    Personal · last shared 2026
    Let's Talk Bitcoinletstalkbitcoin.com50 people

    Bitcoins Seized by DEA

    Let's Talk Bitcoin
    Publication · last shared 2021
    Vitalik Buterinvitalik.ca227 people

    Hard Problems in Cryptocurrency: Five Years Later

    Vitalik Buterin
    Personal · last shared 2023