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    Larry Summers

    larrysummers.com · Personal blog · on HN since 2015

    Larry Summers, economist and former US Treasury Secretary, posts essays on macroeconomics, secular stagnation, taxes, and inflation.

    Visit blogHN submissions
    EconomicsFinance & InvestingPrivacy & Policy
    What HN says

    HN commenters link it for his secular stagnation argument and posts on corporate taxes and infrastructure, which they use to support or dispute points.

    Stats for nerds
    21HN people shared it
    16linked in comments
    754story points
    Sep 2021last shared
    2016people per year2021

    Top posts on HN

    1. 1
      The public has a right to know how companies that pay no taxes pull it off
      1 person · 592 points · first shared 2020 · 403 comments on HN
    2. 2
      People in the USA no longer share a common lived experience
      1 person · 54 points · first shared 2019 · 24 comments on HN
    3. 3
      Response to Marc Andreessen on Secular Stagnation
      2 people · 44 points · first shared 2015 · 8 comments on HN
    4. 4
      Disillusioned in Davos
      1 person · 35 points · first shared 2017 · 26 comments on HN
    5. 5
      Raising interest rates this year will threaten the Fed's major objectives
      1 person · 8 points · first shared 2015 · Discussion on HN
    6. 6
      Covid-19 looks like a hinge in history
      1 person · 6 points · first shared 2020 · Discussion on HN
    7. 7
      Stan Fischer
      1 person · 4 points · first shared 2025 · Discussion on HN
    8. 8
      The case for a proper program of infrastructure spending (2017)
      1 person · 2 points · first shared 2019 · Discussion on HN
    9. 9
      Larry Summers: The inflation risk is real
      1 person · 2 points · first shared 2021 · Discussion on HN
    10. 10
      Secular stagnation’ even truer today
      1 person · 2 points · first shared 2017 · Discussion on HN

    What HN people wrote when they linked it

    • jganetskDec 2016

      I agree with basic income, but most analyses of it are backwards.

      For most of history, governments addressed unemployment by starting wars. By shipping off to war, the unemployed temporarily get a job. They either come back dead or ready to take a new job in an economy revitalized by the stimulus of government war spending.

      John Maynard Keynes noticed this pattern, especially during the Great Depression and WW2, and made a brilliant suggestion: continue with these government interventions, but keep the government spending and drop the war part. We call it "Keynesian economics", but really, what Keynes invented was capitalist peace. And guess what, since then, no two countries that both had McDonald's had fought a war against each other since each got its McDonald's. [1]

      We need a Keynesian boost today, not because of technological progress, but rather the contrary: the rapid technological progress of the 20th century that brought tremendous economic prosperity to humanity has finally come to a grinding halt. Let's stop denying this. The stream of lifechanging breakthrough inventions of the 20th century, from A (antibiotics) to Z (zippers), have ended. As a result, we now suffer from secular stagnation, something Keynes understood very well back then, and Larry Summers understands in the present. [2]

      It's especially absurd to claim that automation is the cause of this. Automation has already upended society: it was called the Industrial Revolution and happened 200 years…

    • PopePompusFeb 2019

      I disagree. Not only can we no longer build large things, we are barely able to maintain the things we have. I lived in Cambridge MA during the repair of the Anderson Memorial Bridge, described here: http://larrysummers.com/2016/05/31/a-lesson-on-infrastructure-from-the-anderson-bridge-fiasco/ . Fixing a very modest bridge across a placid river took years, and cost far more than the inflation-adjusted original cost of the bridge (took longer than the original construction too!).

      Look at NASA's marvelous manned space program. It has less manned launch capability than the agency had when the Mercury program was active. But they still spend money, doing extremely important things like sending "astronauts" to camp out on Mauna Loa and pretend they're on Mars.

    • crdoconnorOct 2016

      >The savings glut is caused by ... There is not much investment happening in our economy

      There is not much investment in the economy because there is not much demand. There is not much demand because of income and wealth inequality.

      After all, what's the point of producing goods and services for people who can't afford them?

      >http://larrysummers.com/category/secular-stagnation/

      Any economics projections made by Larry Summers ought to be taken with a metric ton of salt. After all, his track record at gambling with Harvard's money is just abysmal:

      http://www.alternet.org/economy/larry-summers-federal-reserve

    • ctchoculaNov 2017

      Can you give a citation on "bipartisan support among economists"? All I have read seems to indicate economists are all in support for the other direction - that lowering corporate taxes at this moment is bad economics.

      [1] http://larrysummers.com/2017/10/22/one-last-time-on-who-benefits-from-corporate-tax-cuts/

      [2] https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/corporate-rate-cuts-are-a-poor-way-to-help-the-economy-and-most-workers-and

      [3] http://microeconomicinsights.org/benefits-corporate-tax-cuts-evidence-local-us-labour-markets/

    • nabla9Oct 2020

      Yes. This is called secular stagnation.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secular_stagnation

      http://larrysummers.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/NABE-speech-Lawrence-H.-Summers1.pdf

    • 0x456Sep 2021

      Also available at:

      http://larrysummers.com/2018/10/09/36229/

      https://web.archive.org/web/20210820121158/https://www.ft.com/content/7a558b16-cad4-11e8-8d0b-a6539b949662

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