FutureSearch Blog

FutureSearch | Software Engineer, Research Engineer, Research Scientist | Full Remote (global) | Full-time

FutureSearch (https://futuresearch.ai) is a seed-stage startup building AI systems that reason about the future reliably.

We're an elite 7 person team, who all worked together prior to FutureSearch. My co-founder is the former Head of AI at Metaculus, and I'm the former CTO of Metaculus & creator of Google's currently running internal prediction market.

We're backed by top AI investors, and we're building systems evaluated by the hardest, truest eval possible: predicting the future. We have sold our outputs to Google, OpenAI, and Amazon.

If you're fascinated by what LLMs can and can't do, have excellent technical and reasoning skills, and want a competitively-paid, fully-remote job, please apply!

See the jobs and apply at https://futuresearch.ai/careers.

> So, what exactly has generative AI actually done? Where are the products?

The product is ChatGPT, actually.

If LLMs are a bubble, then you should expect most of OpenAI's revenue to come from its API (which is used by startups which have raised money to do "magic AI stuff", and the bubble would pop when investors would stop giving the money). But according to https://futuresearch.ai/openai-revenue-report, revenue from the API accounts only for 15%, the other 85% being the different subscriptions offers, including 55% of ChatGTP Plus subscriptions -- that is, _direct consumers_.

This doesn't prove that it isn't a bubble (the consumers could realize it's useless and then leave some time later), but it makes it less likely IMO.