Astrodigital is a small site hosting space and computing articles, including the well-known essay on the Space Shuttle and a horse's rear end.
HN links it for the tale that shuttle size traces back to horse widths, though one commenter doubts details like Roman chariots and cites Snopes.
Well sorry, for that. Get a piece of paper and try it. The drake equation isn't too hard. It is just a bunch of probabilities multiplied by an amount of stars. You can even add your own terms if you don't like the one you have, but generally doing this takes yo further from the science...
Anyway, Here is a simple description I snagged from google search [1]:
> The Drake Equation is:
> N = R * fp * ne * fl * fi * fc * L
>
> where:
> N = The number of broadcasting civilizations.
> R = Average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in the Milky Way galaxy
> fp = Fraction of stars that form planets
> ne = Average number of habitable planets per star
> fl = Fraction of habitable planets (ne) where life emerges
> fi = Fraction of habitable planets with life where intelligent evolves
> fc = Fraction of planets with intelligent life capable of interstellar communication
> L = Years a civilization remains detectable
Now grab a pen and cocktail and make the math do whatever you want. I think that is you stick to realistic numbers you will get reasonably high values. But we might just disagree there.
[1] http://www.astrodigital.org/astronomy/drake_equation.html
Here's pretty much the same text dating back from 2000:
http://www.astrodigital.org/space/stshorse.html
Snopes wrote about it:
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/railroad-gauge-chariots/
It was also discussed at length here on HN 3 months ago:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20239682
And another debunking:
https://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/2538/was-standard-railroad-gauge-48-determined-by-roman-chariot-ruts/
So, nice story. Not true.
>Stephenson’s narrow tracks had been introduced first. Originally designed to carry engines transporting coal for the northern mining industry, they were tailored to match the width needed for accommodating a horse between wagon shafts.
there is also interesting related interpretation of Space Shuttle Booster width back to Roman times through the British narrow railway gauge http://www.astrodigital.org/space/stshorse.html
> Which reminds a bit of http://www.astrodigital.org/space/stshorse.html as well.
TL;DR - the legend that the width of the shuttle SRBs is derived from a design decision about cart width that goes back to the Romans.
But it's actually a bit more complicated than that...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard-gauge_railway
And what's funny, is that originally, this 3/4 minutes formula is likely more tied to physical constraints than marketing/human psychology: https://www.vox.com/2014/8/18/6003271/why-are-songs-3-minutes-long
Which reminds a bit of http://www.astrodigital.org/space/stshorse.html as well.
Asker of the question here, you are indeed spot on, Windows 95 was the first OS I used!
The train of reasoning here reminds me of another story (which I think has been on HN before): Why is a space shuttle engine 4' 8.5" wide?
http://www.astrodigital.org/space/stshorse.html