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    Admiral Cloudberg

    admiralcloudberg.medium.com · Personal blog · on HN since 2020

    Pseudonymous writer who publishes detailed, readable investigations of commercial aviation accidents, covering causes, investigations, and safety lessons.

    Visit blogHN submissions
    HistoryScienceWriting & Thinking
    What HN says

    Commenters recommend it as the go-to source for aviation disasters, calling the write-ups well written, easy to follow, and a good alternative to reading raw NTSB reports.

    Stats for nerds
    148HN people shared it
    72linked in comments
    1.2Kstory points
    Aug 2026last shared
    2021people per year2026

    Top posts on HN

    1. 1
      Masks, Smoke, and Mirrors: The story of EgyptAir flight 804
      3 people · 259 points · first shared 2024 · 132 comments on HN
    2. 2
      Designed to Crash: the story of Antonov An-28 HA-LAJ and its demise
      1 person · 108 points · first shared 2024 · 52 comments on HN
    3. 3
      Flying the Unflyable Plane: The near crash of Air Astana flight 1388
      1 person · 105 points · first shared 2022 · 51 comments on HN
    4. 4
      A legal and moral question: The crash of Turkish Airlines flight 981 (2021)
      4 people · 104 points · first shared 2024 · 40 comments on HN
    5. 5
      The Case of the Missing Fuel: The story of the Stockport air disaster
      1 person · 94 points · first shared 2022 · 46 comments on HN
    6. 6
      Passing the Buck: The story of the 2022 Wings Over Dallas air show collision
      2 people · 92 points · first shared 2025 · 27 comments on HN
    7. 7
      Trial by Fire: The crash of Aeroflot flight 1492
      2 people · 91 points · first shared 2025 · 60 comments on HN
    8. 8
      The Spiral of Wrath: The crash of Armavia flight 967
      1 person · 65 points · first shared 2024 · 39 comments on HN
    9. 9
      Korean Airlines Flight 007
      3 people · 43 points · first shared 2024 · 4 comments on HN
    10. 10
      Insanity in the Air: The crash of Pakistan International Airlines flight 8303
      2 people · 43 points · first shared 2024 · 10 comments on HN

    What HN people wrote when they linked it

    • sofixaJan 2025

      > I know that we like to circle jerk about "written in blood" around here but your take is asinine.

      Aviation regulations are indeed written in blood. I can recommend https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/ if you're into reading, or https://www.youtube.com/@MentourPilot if you're into watching for some education of how bad things used to be. Airplane crashes were an almost weekly occurrence, sometimes barely making it into national news. Enormous advances have happened in technology, redundancy, training, maintenance to make aviation absurdly safe. In the US, you have a higher chance of injury/death while driving to the airport than flying (if anything that's an indictment on American roads, terrible cars and bad drivers, but that's a whole other topic).

      > We don't regulate freight barges and personal watercraft the same way we regulate cruise ships and ferries. There's a pretty clear demarcation line between commercial passenger service and noncommercial non-passenger in every industry,

      > Why is aviation not similar? Oh, that's right, because decades ago the FAA and Congress brought the entire industry (with a tiny carve-out for experimental) under the same regulatory scheme and damn near killed the GA industry.

      If you think GA is under the same regulatory regime as civilian airliners, you're misinformed. It's drastically easier, with much less redundancy or safety requirements. None of the current GA planes would be accepted in commercial airline service for a variety of…

    • alwaJun 2025

      Like so many addictive habits, while you’re in it day to day, it feels so… important… and when you’re out… it doesn’t even make sense that complete truth could be fully knowable in the moment.

      Most consequential decisions are made, or built up to, over a long time. Sure, somebody has to call moment-to-moment balls and strikes, but if that’s not literally you, your weight in the world might be better applied in slower, quieter, subtler places.

      Am I morbidly curious about a plane crash? How could I not be? But the NTSB didn’t earn the credibility they have by parachuting in day-of and shooting from the hip. If anything, their processes provide discipline against first impressions blinding them to true causes.

      For those who haven’t encountered Admiral Cloudberg, this is a good opportunity: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/

    • rob74Jan 2024

      ...by Kyra Dempsey, a.k.a. Admiral Cloudberg, who has a long series of in-depth airplane crash investigation articles on Medium: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/

      This is her Medium article on the LAX runway collision: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/cleared-to-collide-the-crash-of-usair-flight-1493-and-skywest-flight-5569-or-the-los-angeles-5d24ab5fec46 - with further details that would probably have distracted from the point she's trying to make in the Asterisk article (e.g. that the controller who made the fatal mistake was originally hired after Ronald Reagan fired and banned from rehiring 11,345 air traffic controllers in 1981 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professional_Air_Traffic_Controllers_Organization_(1968)#August_1981_strike)

    • aja12Jan 2025

      From what I've learned reading AdmiralCloudberg's plane crashes analysis [1]: altitude heavily matters in fuel consumption. Jet planes use a lot less fuel at a higher altitude, up to the point that a plane on the verge of running out of fuel at a medium altitude might manage to squeeze in 50 or 100 more miles of flight by climbing 5000 feet, even accounting for the increased fuel consumption during climb. I guess that correlates with speed as well. Turbofan engines, on the other hand, are more fuel efficient than jet engines at lower altitudes, hence they remain common for interstate transit. The difference seems to be directly caused by the effect of air "thickness" on the engines.

      [1] https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/

    • kraussvonespyAug 2026

      It is. It's a good study of what happens when you combine complex systems in planes and helicopters with the complex systems of navigation and communication, and air traffic control.

      If you're looking for more Cloudberg, some of my favorites are:

      the United 232 crash in Sioux City

      https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/fields-of-fortune-the-crash-of-united-airlines-flight-232-9cf65ae14c68

      the Gimli glider

      https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/a-mathematical-miracle-the-story-of-air-canada-flight-143-or-the-gimli-glider-9e99545d9b3d

      and UPS flight 6

      https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/alone-in-the-inferno-the-crash-of-ups-airlines-flight-6-507d13f3e481

      That last one is truly a nightmare scenario if you're a pilot.

    • hectormalotFeb 2025

      I’ve read a few of these in depth crash analyses: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/

      I’ve realized that fires are a way bigger issue than you might imagine after a crash — things can go south really quickly. Multiple stories of planes going from “fire outside” to “people suffocating and burning to death in their seats” in minutes. Here’s one of a 737 in Manchester, taxied of the runway intact, 55 people died: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/fire-on-the-runway-the-manchester-airport-disaster-and-the-tragedy-of-british-airtours-flight-28m-0a2054e27fff

      I might have taken my laptop bag in such a case out of habit before reading these stories, not so much now.

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